Wednesday, November 24, 2010

China's stock market as the Baby Boomers and the demographic dividend

 China's stock market, City! remark sounding reasonable, then I thought very absurd: people die sooner or later, why should we live? In fact, Wall Street, the soul is the price is usually 12-18 months, and then a long time zone can almost no economic significance.
2008 年 aspirations to six thousand, which is to determine trends, but also a risk warning. since 2009, will begin a comprehensive non-tradable shares into the market, the stock market supply and demand of capital structure will therefore mutated, then, if no exogenous capital inflow or credit derivative transactions, total circulation of the total market capitalization in excess of social savings, the possibility of the stock market crash will rise sharply. but at this stage, in addition to hearing some In addition, I almost do not see any signs of the stock market crash and economic reasons, but there are no data on the improvement, there is one important reason is the demographic dividend. demographic dividend refers to a specific period of excess supply of labor brought about by low wages, contribute to corporate earnings and economic growth. This is not what I said the demographic dividend, the stock market is the demographic dividend of population factors into the model to assess the specific period to finance them. Americans often use the Competition in the behavior of groups often have the tendency of the economic consequences. see the and 80 after the popular saying, you will find the current retail investors in the stock market is 80 before the main population. In this group, with very few entrepreneurs, the financial behavior occur mostly in the housing market into the stock market. in accordance with the investment - savings - consumption preference to divide this group in the structure of expenditures in common on the low consumption, the difference is the high savings or high investment. stock market demographic dividend from investment in higher performance in the group of actors.
Chinese traditional culture is the emphasis on education, re-saving, investment is not among the traditional education. So, the investment group is people prefer the higher the Times have changed, and leisure have a chance, and miscellaneous merchandise has, so some people get rich first, the first transition from ordinary investors. investors must have some behavioral deficits that are not ordinary people, especially in the formal education investment in social exclusion, there are more behavioral deficits are not respected investment. So they asked for more subconscious self, and then had the extreme desire for wealth, which is . For them, the wealth is not just wealth, but it is also a means of access to social respect. housing market and create opportunity for the idlers themselves, and a lot of people because of the leisure and money, so the idle Yin also, were also mixed up the community into community leaders and loitering. China's stock market wealth effect, not just the wealth of information transfer, while those lifestyle changes mean.
80 before the real estate stocks, 80 sing the Chinese, China people's the Chinese civil society into the from the dilemma: either the stock market bubble burst as a hard to forget her words, In the bridge of the prison. U.S. Government during the Great Depression in 1929-33 after the intervention in the stock market crash, President Roosevelt appointed Kennedy, the old Wall Street also implemented the from laying the cornerstone of the modern securities industry. U.S. and British government intervention in these two historic stock market, a place before the bubble burst, one after the bubble burst in, thinking different, the results are different, there are still many people who remember the British had a br>

No comments:

Post a Comment